02 April 2020

The Lessons of Herbert Hoover and the Failed System of Capitalism


There has been resistance in some quarters to the proposed stimulus plan which will send out checks to the American public. In many ways it's rightly viewed as somewhat crazy – borrow or effectively print money to give to people. Take the government even deeper into debt so that citizens will have money to spend. What kind of economics is that?


The previous cash disbursements in 2001 and in the wake of the 2008 financial crisis were about getting Americans to support the retail sector. Our economy is a service economy. Manufacturing is only a faint shadow of what it once was. Today's economy is less about production of goods and more about moving money around, in and out of the markets and banking system. And so if the flow of money stops, then the economy crashes. It's like a game of musical chairs. Also when the music stops it's like a poker game where the hand is called and everyone has to show what they have. Let's just say a lot of the players are faking it and don't really have the hands that they want everyone to think they do. That's no less true today, even with the numbers produced by the Obama-Trump recovery.
Many have talked about how robust the Trump economy was before the recent pandemic. Well, I would be among those that would differ. I don't see Coronavirus as having wrecked a strong economy but rather as the trigger, the spark that set off an explosion – that revealed that what everyone thought was there, wasn't really there. The level of the collapse is telling and demonstrates that much of the wealth was in the realm of what Marx called Fictitious Capital, manipulated numbers within the usurious market that only function as long as the vast majority of holders believe in it and keep their money invested. Once people start pulling out (and of course those initial withdrawals have the potential to be huge money-makers) it starts collapsing. But apart from the few whose timing is right or inside information, it's a disaster. The rest quickly discover that what they thought was there, isn't there. The money ends up only being real for those on the inside, for those whose timing is right or for those who withdrew the fictitious capital in bits and pieces along the way and turned it into real money. But in terms of the bulk 'value' of the market, it's little more than a pipe dream.
The economy never truly recovered from what happened in 2008. Wages never really rose. They had just started to develop a noticeable uptick over the past few years but this was only in response to the steady inflation, a reality that government and market statisticians sought (and ever seek) to obfuscate and downplay. The labour market was manipulated, the parameters changed and a new economy developed, one with even less security and stability for workers, one in which the remaining power of the unions was broken and through the utilisation of technology those at the bottom were reduced to a kind of slavery unimagined even during the Gilded Age. With modern Smartphones employers can string wage workers along, keeping them ever available but with no promise of consistent hours or wages. But even the employers are struggling in this great 'recovery'. Due to the growing power of monopolies and the nature of globalist logistics the profit margins are growing ever tighter for mid-level retail outlets and franchises and well before the pandemic the 'booming' economy was in the midst of what some called a 'retail apocalypse'.
The health care reforms under Obama helped many, harmed some but because it did not sever the control of the insurance companies or the foolish system of employer-based coverage many employers and corporations have worked and manipulated the system by putting more workers on a part-time basis and in some cases have created a workforce that's compelled to work two, three and four jobs, sometimes each offering no more than 10 hours a week. As a consequence life is inherently unstable, plans are impossible and days off are rare or nonexistent. This sector is absolutely beaten down and apart from those employed by 'essential' services, they are certain to face grievous dilemmas during the pandemic shutdown.
Some sectors, like those invested in the markets made a lot of money during the Obama-Trump recovery, and yet it was really just on paper and now once the system was put to the test, it has collapsed in spectacular fashion. And here's where the 'trickle-down' really comes into play as the middle and upper-middle class decides to hold on to its money and no longer requires the services that keep people like me employed.
The present bailout or round of subsidies is a little different than what we saw during the first decade of the 2000's. This isn't about merely propping up the retail-service sector. This time it's about survival. The rapid decline is so severe that if something isn't done there will be not only an economic collapse but a social collapse and literally blood in the streets.
I'm sure Kentucky's Mitch McConnell, the leader of the Senate and by many estimates the most corrupt man in the congress told his resistant fellow senators, there's a lesson to be learned in the person of Herbert Hoover. In the wake of the 1929 market crash, he did very little and the country was coming apart at the seams. He largely stuck to his market principles and it cost him the 1932 election because at the end of the day people don't care about ideals and maintaining a pure economic theory. What they care about is eating.
Hoover's political fall was pretty spectacular and I'm sure McConnell thinks about that, all the more as this is an election year.
But the lessons in many cases haven't been learned and I'm sure McConnell felt serious resistance coming from certain sectors within the GOP. Roosevelt inherited a disaster in 1933 and struggled to remedy the situation. He was resisted at every turn and many of his ideas failed... or in other cases were doomed to fail by being politically undercut. In the end he realised that essentially paying people to dig holes and refill them was better than idleness and financial stagnation. People working and spending started moving the money around and got the economy moving. Some of the history of that period has been forgotten. There was a growing communist movement that had the people in power alarmed. With 25% unemployment and no social safety net, the situation was desperate and society was nearing the point of collapse. The country was coming apart and FDR and those around him knew it.
And that's the rub. Do you stick to your guns, hold your principles and let everything collapse? Many would point out that there are other principles and commitments. Leaders are committed to the survival and security of the nation and thus when two principles come into conflict, they have to prioritize and that's what was done. In the end the market argument was abandoned for the sake of preserving the country and preventing collapse.
And many recognise and celebrate this fact, even while in terms of basic principles holding to the integrity of the free market. They believe in the idea but at the same time will grant there are times when it must be abandoned.
Does that not suggest the ideal itself is in fact flawed? Is this not an indictment of the system and an admission that it is ultimately (at least periodically) doomed to fail?
Opponents of this view marshal a host of arguments, insisting the market would work if the state would quit intervening or suggesting that we already live under a socialist system and thus all failures are attributable to that fact. One wonders if they're really sincere or really don't understand just what it is that they're saying?
In other cases the lessons of Hoover do not get through because there's been a great revisionist effort within Right-wing Capitalist circles. Hoover was not at fault. Things were getting better but the people were deceived by a populist campaign and were too impatient. FDR made things worse and because of his efforts the Depression lasted longer and was exacerbated.
And they have many think tanks, including the Stanford-based Hoover Institution (no less) to generate the needed data and research to make their case. And as long as the case is made and aggressively promoted, the myth-narrative regarding Capitalism, Wall Street and the Great Depression can be perpetuated.
And yet when the situation becomes dire, when the chips are down (as it were), then the custodians of power step forward...  happy to profit from the unsustainable and exploitative system on a normative basis – they also realise that at times they must act and the (suddenly less than sacred) principles must be jettisoned. It's a telling moment.
Finally those who in principle oppose such subsidies and believe that payouts are immoral and in opposition to their principles, a form of socialism, I can only say this... don't take the money. You cannot if you truly believe any form of redistribution is wrong. But if you do, then you're no different than the congressman who voted for the package and in taking the money you admit that the market system (which many erroneously believe to be godly) is in fact a failure. This is a real dilemma. In taking the check you're either abandoning your principles or admitting that the so-called godly order is incapable and insufficient... and therefore something less than godly.
Or if you have integrity you would admit that the order you support is in fact something less than Biblical or godly and the whole discussion needs to be re-framed and re-considered. History reveals its failures as does an examination of New Testament ethics. From every angle the system (while certainly enriching to some) is nevertheless unsustainable from whatever angle you attempt to view it.
Do I champion another system or solution? There is only one solution to the world's problems, repentance and belief in the person and work of Christ. But that doesn't build nations or empires, nor is it meant to. All systems fail in this fallen evil age. Anyone who says otherwise is teaching error. Anyone who presents one of these man-made, man-contrived systems as godly risks heresy. Some systems are perhaps better than others and some work better than others in certain contexts. None are godly. As Christians we don't serve mammon nor do we lay up treasures on Earth. The system we live in is therefore largely immaterial. Work, live, eat and have a roof over your head and be content. Everything else is just the love of money and a road to evil. You say you trust God is in control and that He has ordained the powers that be, but then you act in an opposite manner.
Criticising the evils and weaknesses of Capitalism is not an apologia for Socialism or anything else. Capitalism is understandable in a lost world. It reflects worldliness and the values of lost people and minds given to vain pursuits and vanity. Don't fall for the propaganda. The stuff I hear from pulpits makes me shudder. If these so-called preachers really believe what they're saying than they demonstrate less wisdom and moral capacity than a lot of lost people.
We should expect the lost to be given over to the pursuit of temporal glory and power, just as we should expect the alternative systems men propose to ameliorate and rectify Capitalism's abuses. None of these systems are in accord with Scripture as indeed the New Testament ethic concerning money is pure foolishness and even reckless and immoral in the eyes of the world. My dispute isn't with lost people and their doomed-to-fail solutions but with those who insist these same solutions are godly, gospel and glorifying to Christ. My argument is with those who would baptise mammon and would sanctify its acquisition and even the evil the love of it is certain to spawn.
The system is doomed to fail because it has nothing to do with New Testament doctrine or the Kingdom ethics we as Christians are bound to embrace. It is an ungodly system, something that's plain to see if you would only open your eyes.